The impact of COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the organisations studied

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14267/VEZTUD.2024.03.02

Keywords:

crises, COVID-19, Russian-Ukrainian war, organisations

Abstract

In the last three years, the way the world works has changed more than in all the previous decades combined. The changes in market processes and systems have clearly been driven by two dominant phenomena: the pandemic crisis caused by COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. These two world events have changed fundamental norms, which has forced organisations to change their strategies. The question is: what are the organisations in question really planning? What is influencing their reactions? The aim of the authors’ publication is to show how organisations were thinking in the early stages of the two crises, and whether they are able to assess the expected impact and plan the appropriate measures. Their empirical research found that micro-enterprises tend to project their pessimism on the whole economy. Also, their services are less dependent on supply chain resilience. Furthermore, their various war-induced measures were related to their past external relations.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Zsolt Kőmüves, Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences

associate professor

Virág Walter, Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences

associate professor

Gábor Szabó-Szentgróti, University of Győr; Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences

associate professor

Krisztina Dajnoki, University of Debrecen

professor

Botond Kálmán, Kodolányi János University

assistant professor

Arnold Tóth, Budapest Business University

associate professor

Szilvia Módosné Szalai, University of Győr

assistant lecturer

József Poór, J. Selye University

professor

Beáta Pató Gáborné Szűcs, Eötvös Loránd University

associate professor

References

Aashish, T. (2022). Economic impact of Russia – Ukraine war. International Journal of Innovative Research in Science, Engineering and Technology (IJIRSET), 11(4), 3345-3349. https://doi.org/10.15680/IJIRSET.2022.1104025|

Adams, P., Golin, T., & Rauh, M. (2020). Inequality in the impact of the coronavirusshock: evidence from real time surveys. Journal of Public Economics, 189, 104245. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104245

Allen, F., & Carletti, E. (2010). An overview of the crisis: Causes, consequences, and solutions. International Review of Finance, 2010(10), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2443.2009.01103.x

Andrzej, S., & Mariusz, K. (2022). AR-AI tools as a response to high employee turnover and shortages in manufacturing during regular, pandemic, and war times. Sustainability, 14 (11), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14116729

Bagó, J. (2020). Járvány és munka. Új Munkaügyi Szemle, 1(3), 14-25. Balios, D., Daskalakis, N., Eriotis, N., & Vasiliou, D. (2016). SMEs capital structure determinants during severe. Cogent Economics & Finance, 4, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2016.1145535

Balogh, G., Király, Zs., Kópházi, A., Kun, A., & Poór, J. (2020) A magyarországi országos KoronaHR kutatási projekt céljai, módszerei és első tapasztalatai. Új Munkaügyi Szemle, 1(4), 22-28. https://real.mtak.hu/154504/

Béresné, B., & Maklári, E. (2021). A COVID-19-járvány gazdasági és munkaerőpiaci hatásai az elmúlt egy évben az Európai Unióban, különös tekintettel Magyarországra. International Journal of Engineering and Management Sciences, 6(4), 67-79. https://doi.org/10.21791/IJEMS.2021.4.7

Bogár, L. (2003). Magyarország és a globalizáció. Osiris. Budhwar, P., & Cumming, D. (2020). New directions in management research and communication: lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic. British Journal of Management 31(3), 441-443. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8551.12426

Carnevale, J., & Hatak, I. (2020). Employee adjustment and well-being in the era of COVID-19: Implications for human resource management. Journal of Business Research, 116, 183-187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.05.037

Choudhry, T. (2010). World War II events and the Dow Jones industrial index. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(5), 1022-1031. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.11.004

Czirfusz, M. (2021). A COVID–19-válságkezelés és a dolgozók helyzetének átalakulása a magyarországi feldolgozóiparban. Területi Statisztika, 61(3), 320-336. https://doi.org/10.15196/TS610303

De Lange, M., & Wolbers, M. (2014). Youth labour market integration across Europe: the impact of cyclical, structural, and institutional characteristics. European Societies, 16(2), 194-212. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616696.2013.821621

Duarte, D., Matias, G., & Gulamhussen, A. (2018). Defaults in bank loans to SMEs during the financial crisis. Small Business Economics, 51(3), 591-608. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-017-9944-9

Ebru, O. (2022). The effects of the Russia – Ukraine war on global trade. Journal of International Trade, Logistics and Law, 8 (1), 141-146. http://jital.org/index.php/jital/article/view/277

Eichhorst, W., Marx, P., & Rinne, U. (2020). Manoeuvring through the crisis: labour market and social policies during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Inter Economics, 55(6), 375-380. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10272-020-0937-6

Estrada, R., Arturo, M., & Evangelos, K. (2022. 06. 06.). The trade suffocation and investment desgrowth in Europe from the Russian Military Aggression on Ukraine. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4129537

EU (2023a). Az Ukrajnából menekülők belépése a munkaerőpiacra. https://eu-solidarity-ukraine.ec.europa.eu/information-people-fleeing-war-ukraine/fleeingukraine-access-jobs_hu

EU (2023b). Bizottsági szolgálati munkadokumentum a 2023. évi országjelentés – Magyarország. Európai Bizottság. https://op.europa.eu/hu/publication-detail/-/publication/2f4dd05e-fa36-11ed-a05c-01aa75ed71a1/language-hu

Euronews (2021. jan. 25). Súlyosabb a válság mint 2008 után volt. https://hu.euronews.com/2021/01/25/ilo-sulyosabb-a-valsag-mint-2008-utan-volt

Európai Bizottság (2020). EU’s next long-term budget & next generation EU. https://commission.europa.eu/system/files/2020-11/mff_factsheet_agreement_en_web_20.11.pdf

Európai Bizottság (2020. 03. 20). A Bizottság közleménye a Tanácsnak a Stabilitási és Növekedési Paktum általános mentesítési záradékának alkalmazására. Európai Bizottság. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/HU/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52020DC0123&-from=EN

Európai Központi Bank (2022). The economic impact of Next Generation EU: A euro area perspective. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op291~18b-5f6e6a4.en.pdf

Európai Parlament (2020). The EU’s 2020 budget: Response to the coronavirus pandemic. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/649382/EPRS_BRI(2020) 649382_EN.pdf

Európai Parlament (2022). Monitoring the EU’s economic recovery: a premature halt to the recovery in a robust labour market. http://www.eprs.sso.ep.parl.union.eu/filerep/upload/EPRS_BRI(2022)739254_EN.pdf

Evangelos, V. (2022). Abnormal returns and anti-leverage effect in the time of Russo-Ukrainian war 2022: Evidence from oil, wheat and natural gas markets. Journal of Economic Studies, 50(5), 1063-1072. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-04-2022-0235

Explainer (2020). Kurzarbeit: Germany’s scheme for avoiding unemployment. https://www.theguardian.com /world /2020/sep/24/kurzarbeit-ger manys-scheme-fo-avoiding-unemployment

Fabian, H. (2021). The case of sales in the automotive industry during the COVID-19 pandemic. Strategic Change, 30(2), 117-125. https://doi.org/10.1002/jsc.2395

Farrel, D., & Greig, F. (2016). Paychecks, paydays, and the online platform economy. Proceedings. Annual Conference on Taxation and Minutes of the Annual Meeting of the National Tax Association, 109, 1-40. https://www.jpmorganchase.com/institute/research/labor-markets/report-paychecks-paydays-and-the-online-platform-economy

Fazekas, K. (2021). Bevezetés. In K. Fazekas, I. Kónya, & J. Krekó (szerk.), Munkaerő-piaci Tükör (pp. 9-14). ELKH.

Fodor, P., Kiss, T., & Poór, J. (2010). A válság hatása a HR-re és a tudásmenedzsmentre négy kelet-európai ország szervezeteinek empirikus vizsgálata alapján. Vezetéstudomány, 41(10), 2-18. https://doi.org/10.14267/VEZTUD.2010.10.01

Fodor, P., Kiss, T., & Poór, J. (2011). Focus on the impact of the economic and financial crisis on the human resource function. Acta Polytechnica Hungarica, 41(10), 81-104.

Francis, J. (2020). Implications for supply chain management. Frontiers of Health Services Management, 37(1), 33-38. https://doi.org/10.1097/hap.0000000000000092

Friedman, T. (2005). The World is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century. Farrar, Straus, and Giroux. Congress. Gov (2020). Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act. https://www.congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/748/text?q=%7B%-22search%22%3A%5B%22coronavirus+aid+relief+and+economic%22%5D%7D&r=2&s=1

Guarner, J. (2020). Three emerging coronaviruses in two decades, The story of SARS, MERS, and Now COVID- 19. American Journal of Clinical Pathology, 153(4), 420-421. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcp/aqaa029

Hirst, G., Curtis, S., Nielsen, I., Smyth, R., & Xiao, N. (2021). Refugee recruitment and workplace integration: an opportunity for human resource management scholarship impact. Human Resource Management Journal, 33(4), 783-805. https://doi.org/10. 1111/1748-8583.12349

Ignits, G. (2021). A pandémiás válság munkaerőpiaci hatásairól, Statisztikai lehetőségek, kihívások és fókuszok a folyamatok számbavételére. Új Munkaügyi Szemle, 2(1), 31-45.

ILO (2021). ILO Monitor: COVID-19 and the world of work. https://reliefweb.int/report/world/ilo-monitorcovid-19-and-world-work-fourth-edition-endeitnoptvi?gad_source=1&gclid=CjwKCAiAlcyuBhBnEiwAOGZ2S4WAQPS6Ja5O9WnaInfLXHv2E9IFSRJ5ioT5eSyUdv91QsqZ5qAz5BoCt7MQAvD_BwE

ILO (2022). Multiple crises threaten the global labour market recovery. https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---dcomm/---publ/documents/briefingnote/wcms_859255.pdf

IMF. (2021). The IMF’s Response to COVID-19. https://www.imf.org/en/About/FAQ/imf-response-to-covid-19

Impact assessment (2020). Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme. HM Revenue& Customs. Gov. UK.

Imran, Y., Ritesh, P., & Yaroyaya, I. (2022). The reaction of G20+ stock markets to the Russia-Ukraine conflict „black-swan” event: evidence from event study approach. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 35, 100723. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2022.100723

Karácsony, P., & Pásztó, V. (2021). Az Európai Unió munkaerőpiaci helyzetének elemzése a koronavírus-válság idején. Európai Tükör, 2, 101-115. https://doi.org/10.32559/et.2021.2.6

Kocziszky, G., Benedek, J., & Szendi, D. (2018). The impact of the 2008 financial crisis on household income and wealth in Visegrad countries. Regional Statistics, 8(1), 141-167. https://doi.org/10.15196/RS080102

KSH (2022). Munkaerőpiaci folyamatok, 2022. II. negyedév. https://www.ksh.hu/s/kiadvanyok/munkaeropiaci-folyamatok-2022-ii-negyedev/index.html

László, Gy. (2022). A magyar foglalkoztatáspolitika 30 éve: 1990-2020 Dokumentumok, politikák és stratégiák, adatsorok. Pécsi Tudományegyetem. https://pea.lib.pte.hu/handle/pea/34432

Lisboa, I. (2017). Capital structure of exporter SMEs during the financial crisis: Evidence from Portugal. Portuguese Journal of Management Studies, 22(1), 25-49.

Mihály, M. (2022). Így forgatja fel a hazai munkaerőpiacot az ukrajnai menekültek tömeges érkezése. HrPower. https://www.hrpwr.hu/cikk/igy-forgatja-fel-a-hazai-munkaeropiacot-az-ukrajnai-menekultek-tomeges-erkezese

Molnár, T., & Dániel, Z. (2022). Válságok a hazai munkaerő- piacon – regionális aspektusból. Észak-magyarországi Stratégiai Füzetek, 19(1), 48-57. https://doi.org/10.32976/stratfuz.2022.4

OECD (2021). The territorial impact of COVID-19: Managing the crisis and recovery across levels of government. https://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/policy-responses/the-territorial-impact-of-covid-19-managing-the-crisis-and-recovery-across-levels-of-government-a2c6abaf/

Olexandr, S., Valerii, M., & Roman, S. (2021). Labour migration from ukraine under the global economic turbulence. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, 7(2), 240-249. https://doi.org/10.30525/2256-0742/2021-7-2-240-249

Onar, T.K., & Eshraghi, A. (2022). Corporate decisions in times of war: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Finance Research Letters, 48, 102920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.102920

Pesole, A., Urzi, C., Frnandez, E.M., Biagi, F., & González, I.V. (2018). Platform Workers in Europe. Publications Office of the European Union. https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC112157

Piguet, E. (2021). The ‘refugee crisis’ in Europe: Shortening distances, containment and asymmetry of rights—a tentative interpretation of the 2015–16 events. Journal of Refugee Studies, 34(1), 1577-1594. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrs/feaa015

Pirohov, B., & Kiss, Z. (2020). A munkaerőpiaci szereplők által tapasztalt foglalkoztatási kihívások a koronavírus- járvány idején. Opus et Educatio, 7(4), 402- 409. https://doi.org/10.3311/ope.408

Rapkay, B., Illés, S., & Stárics, R. (2013). A helyi gazdaságfejlesztés egyes gondolati előzményei és következményei. Földrajzi Közlemények, 137(1), 28-39.

Rigobon, R., & Sack, B. (2005). The effects of war risk on US financial markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 29(7), 1769-1789. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.06.040

Syed, Z., & Syed, S. (2016). The polarization impact of the crisis on the Eurozone labour markets: a hierarchical cluster analysis. Applied Economics Letters, 24(7), 472-476. https://doi.org/:10.1080/13504851.2016.1203055

Századvég. (2021). Makrogazdasági, költségvetési helyzetkép 2020-ról. https://www.parlament.hu/documents/126660/39139635/Makrogazdas%C3%A1gi_elemz%C3%A9s_Sz%C3%A1zadv%C3%A9g_KT_2020.pdf/ea7b4f84-eaf2-226de732-ff658edccde8?t=1625132162246

Szentes, T. (2009). Ki és miért van válságban? Leegyszerűsítő nézetek és szemléletmód kritikája. Napvilág Kiadó.

Thékes, I. (2020). A COVID-19 vírusjárvány miatti hazai távoktatás digitális megoldásainak elemzése. In G. Kozma (ed.), Fejezetek a COVID-19-es távoktatás digitális tapasztalataiból (pp. 7-17). Gerhardus Kiadó.

UNDP (2022). Ukraine war: $100 billion in infrastructure damage, and counting. https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/03/1114022

UNHCR (2022). Ukrajnai menekültválság. https://www.unhcr.org/hu/

Varga, J., & Csiszárik, Á.K. (2015). A gazdasági proaktivizmus hiánya a hazai gazdaságban és a válságkezelésben. In Vállalkozásfejlesztés a XXI. században V. (pp. 409-439). Óbuda University, Keleti Faculty of Business and Management.

Világbank (2020). Phase II: COVID-19 Crisis through a Migration Lens. https://www.knomad.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/Migration%20%26%20Development%20Brief%2033%20-%20October%202020.pdf

Yarovaya, L., Matkovsky, R., & Jalan, A. (2022). The COVID-19 black swan crisis: Reaction and recovery of various financial markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 59, 101521. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101521

Zádori, I., Nemeskéri, Z., & Szabó, S. (2020). Deglobalizáció vagy reglobalizáció? Munkaerőpiac a vírus előtt, alatt és után. Új Munkaügyi Szemle, 1(3), 2-13.

Downloads

Published

2024-03-14

How to Cite

Kőmüves, Z., Walter, V., Szabó-Szentgróti, G., Dajnoki, K., Kálmán, B., Tóth, A., … Pató Gáborné Szűcs, B. (2024). The impact of COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the organisations studied. Vezetéstudomány Budapest Management Review, 55(3), 14–28. https://doi.org/10.14267/VEZTUD.2024.03.02

Issue

Section

Articles

Most read articles by the same author(s)