Az észlelt kockázat utazási szándékra gyakorolt hatása konfliktusövezetekben: elméleti keretmodell
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14267/TURBULL.2018v18n4.2Keywords:
konfliktusövezet, észlelt kockázat, utazási szándékAbstract
A politikai instabilitás okozta konfliktusok száma világszerte növekszik, ami negatív hatást gyakorol a turizmusra és növeli az utazással kapcsolatos észlelt kockázatot. A turizmus-szakirodalomban kevés olyan kutatást végeztek, amelyek a konfliktusövezetekben található desztinációkkal kapcsolatos utazási szándék befolyásoló tényezőit vizsgálták. A tanulmány célja, hogy egy olyan elméleti keretmodellt alakítson ki, amely az észlelt kockázat és a turisták látogatási szándékának összefüggését vizsgálja konfliktusövezetekben található desztinációkban. A keretmodellt a tervezett magatartás elméletét alapul véve alakítottuk ki, amely figyelembe veszi az észlelt kockázat és észlelt bizonytalanság hatását az utazási szándékot és tényleges magatartást meghatározó tényezőkre: a tényleges magatartásra vonatkozó attitűdökre, a szubjektív normákra és az észlelt magatartásirányításra. Új elemként jelenik meg a modellben, hogy a desztinációval kapcsolatos korábbi tapasztalat és a desztinációimázs szintén befolyásolja az utazási szándékot. Az elméleti keretmodell egy jövőbeni empirikus kutatás kiindulópontja.
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