The Re-emergence of the Residual Income Model in the Valuation of Firms and Investment Projects

Authors

  • Edina Cziglerné Erb University of Pécs

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2020_3_7

Keywords:

residual income, discounted cash flow valuation methods, intrinsic value, G11, G12, G32

Abstract

Residual income valuation was already known and used in valuation theory and practice previously, however, the method has been subject to increasing attention in the past decades. By comparing the discounted cash flow method and the residual income model, this paper seeks to answer the question of what practical implications the difference in theory results in. The discounted cash flow method continues to be widely popular in literature and international practice, however, it may give rise to flawed results in certain cases. With the help of specific business examples, the study highlights that in such cases, the risks of under or overestimation can be mitigated with the help of the RIM model. The largest benefit of the residual income model compared to the DCF method is that instead of deriving the value solely from the future, it gives a central role to the already known book value, and the speculative value – determined based on the accounting income – plays a less significant role in the course of valuation.

References

Edwards, E. O., Bell, P. W. (1961). The Theory and Measurement of Business Income. Berkeley: University of California Press

Fernandez, P. (2002). Valuation Methods and Shareholder Value Creation. Academic Press, San Diego, California

Fisher, I. (1930). The Theory of Interest. The Macmillan Company, New York

Francis, J., Olsson, P., Oswald, D. R. (2000). Comparing the accuracy and explainability of dividend, free cash flow, and abnormal earnings equity value estimates. Journal of Accounting Research 38. (Spring), pp. 45–70

Graham, B. (1973). The Intelligent Investor. 4th Edition, Harper and Row, New York

Graham, B., Dodd, D. I. (1934). Security Analysis. Fifth International Edition, Mc Graw-Hill Book Company, New York

Lundholm, R. J. (1995). A Tutorial ont he Ohlson and Feltham/Ohlson Models. Contemporary Accounting Research, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 749–761

Lücke, W. (1955). Investitionsrechnungen auf der Grundlage von Ausgaben oder Kosten? Zeitschrift für handelswissenschaftliche Forchung, pp. 310–324

Lücke, W. (1991). Investitionslexikon. München Marshall, A. (1890). Principles of Economics. MacMillan and Co., London

Modigliani, F., Miller, M. H. (1958). The Cost of Capital, Corporate Finance and Theory of Investment. The American Economic Review, Vol. 18, No. 3

Ohlson, J. A. (1995). Earnings, Book Values and Dividends in Equity Valuation. Contemporary Acounting Research, pp. 661–687

Penman, S. H. (2001). Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. McGraw-Hill, New York

Penman, S. H. (2006). Handling Valuation Models. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Vol. 18, Nr. 2

Penman, S. H. (2010). Accounting for Value, Columbia University Press, New York

Penman, S. H., Sougiannis, T. (1998). A comparison of dividend, cash flow, and earnings approaches to equity valuation. Contemporary Ac counting Research, Vol. 15, pp. 343–383

Perek, A., Perek, A. (2012). Residual Income Versus Disounted Cash Flow Valuation Models: An Empirical Study. Accounting and Taxation, Vol. 4 (2), pp. 57–64

Preinreich, G. A. D. (1932). Stock Yields, Stock Dividends and Inflation. The Accounting Review, Vol. 7 (4), pp. 273–289

Preinreich, G. A. D. (1937). Valuation and Amortization. The Accounting Review, Vol. 12 (3), pp. 210–226

Preinreich, G. A. D. (1936). The Fair Value and Yield of Common Stock. The Accounting Review, Vol. 11 (2), pp. 130–140

Preinreich, G. A. D. (1938). Annual Survey of Economic Theory: The Theory of Depreciation. Econometrica, Vol. 6 (3), pp. 219–241

Preuss, B. (2016). Mathematical integration of the EVA and RI approach. https://www.researchgate. net/publication/292391253_Mathematical_ integration_of_EVA_and_RI_approach, https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.2242.4085

Szücs T., Ulbert J. (2017). A valós értékelés szerepe és mérése a hazai hitelintézeti szektorban. Hitelintézeti Szemle, 16 (3), 51–73. oldal

Takács A. (2007). A számított vállalatérték és a tőzsdei részvényárfolyam kapcsolata a magyar tőzsdei vállalatoknál. Statisztikai Szemle, 85 (10–11), 933– 964. oldal

Takács A., Ulbert J., Fodor A. (2020). Have investors learned from the crisis? An analysis of post-crisis pricing errors and market corrections in US stock markets based on the reverse DCF model. Applied Economics, 52 (20), pp. 2208–2218, https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2019.1686114

Tarnóczi T., Fenyves V. (2010). A válla latértékelés komplex szimulációs modellje. Acta Scientiarium Socialium, (31), 95–106. oldal

Williams, J. B. (1938). The Theory of Investment Value. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massa chusett

Published

2020-09-30

How to Cite

Cziglerné Erb, E. (2020). The Re-emergence of the Residual Income Model in the Valuation of Firms and Investment Projects. Public Finance Quarterly, 65(3). https://doi.org/10.35551/PFQ_2020_3_7

Issue

Section

Studies